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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
34.57% ( -0.09) | 25.38% ( -0.01) | 40.05% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.02) | 47.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( 0.02) | 69.82% ( -0.02) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.05) | 26.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( -0.06) | 61.77% ( 0.05) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.06) | 23.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( 0.08) | 57.6% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.57% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.05% |
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