Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
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