SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Barnet |
29.58% ( 0.12) | 23.03% ( 0.04) | 47.38% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.36% ( -0.14) | 38.64% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.05% ( -0.15) | 60.94% ( 0.15) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( 0.01) | 25.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( 0.01) | 60.02% ( -0.01) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( -0.12) | 16.64% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.51% ( -0.21) | 46.48% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.34% Total : 47.38% |
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