Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
0) 
-0.03) 
