SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Wealdstone |
52.06% ( 0.48) | 22.55% ( -0.01) | 25.38% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.36% ( -0.38) | 39.64% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.01% ( -0.39) | 61.99% ( 0.39) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( 0.03) | 15.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.89% ( 0.06) | 44.11% ( -0.06) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( -0.56) | 28.72% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( -0.7) | 64.55% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.38% |
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