Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
