SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 68.29%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Chesterfield |
13.68% ( -0.02) | 18.03% ( -0.01) | 68.29% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.29% ( 0.03) | 36.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.12% ( 0.03) | 58.87% ( -0.03) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( 0) | 39.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.21% | 75.78% ( 0) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.19% ( 0.02) | 9.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.42% ( 0.04) | 32.58% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.43% 3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 13.68% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.03% | 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0)0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 8% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.52% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.16% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-5 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 68.28% |
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