Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
