SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
35.95% ( 2.17) | 24.95% ( 0.25) | 39.1% ( -2.42) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( -0.75) | 45.47% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.19% ( -0.72) | 67.8% ( 0.72) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( 0.9) | 24.76% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( 1.24) | 59.32% ( -1.24) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( -1.51) | 23.08% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( -2.26) | 56.91% ( 2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.86% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.1% |
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