SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Southend United |
30.62% ( 0.7) | 24.5% ( 0.1) | 44.88% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.11) | 44.96% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.11) | 67.32% ( 0.11) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( 0.41) | 27.75% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( 0.53) | 63.32% ( -0.52) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( -0.39) | 20.15% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% ( -0.63) | 52.43% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 44.88% |
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