SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Southend United |
22.84% ( 0.03) | 24.42% ( 0.02) | 52.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( -0.03) | 50.29% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( -0.03) | 72.24% ( 0.03) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( 0.01) | 36.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( 0.02) | 73.47% ( -0.01) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% ( -0.03) | 19.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.4% ( -0.05) | 50.59% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 22.84% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.74% |
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