Despite the difference in league positions, it is Halifax who enter this contest in much better form. Nevertheless, Southend's home form is far superior in comparison to their away, leading us to predict a hard-fought share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
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