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National League | Gameweek 29
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
York Road Stadium
SU

Maidenhead
1 - 2
Southend

McCoulsky (8')
Adams (52'), Kpekawa (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Scott-Morriss (42'), Cardwell (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-0 York City
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League

We said: Maidenhead United 1-2 Southend United

Southend have won two of their last three league games, and after beating Maidenhead 2-0 earlier this season, we think that they will complete a league double over their opponents by claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southend United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southend United.

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawSouthend United
20.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 23.45% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 55.65% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.66% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.51% (-0.102 -0.1)48.48% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)70.61% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)37.56% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)74.34% (0.065999999999988 0.07)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)17.26% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)47.58% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 20.89%
    Southend United 55.64%
    Draw 23.45%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 20.89%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 11.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 10% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-3 @ 5.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 3-2 Maidenhead
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 3-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-0 Wealdstone
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Maidenhead
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-0 York City
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-3 Eastleigh
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 3-0 Solihull
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 0-0 Southend
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-1 Bromley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-2 Altrincham
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League


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