Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.
