Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for York City had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
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