SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Halifax Town |
66.59% ( -0.09) | 20.03% ( 0.03) | 13.38% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( -0.02) | 46.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( -0.01) | 68.9% ( 0.02) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( -0.03) | 13.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% ( -0.06) | 39.72% ( 0.06) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.18% ( 0.08) | 45.82% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.42% ( 0.06) | 81.58% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 2-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.81% Total : 66.57% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.03% | 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.38% |
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