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National League | Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Roots Hall
YT

Southend
2 - 1
Yeovil

Demetriou (29'), Clifford (60')
Lopata (20'), Demetriou (77'), Neal (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reid (90')
Gorman (76')

We said: Southend United 1-1 Yeovil Town

This game appears a tight one to call on Tuesday, with the two sides at opposite ends of the table but heading into the clash on different runs of form. Yeovil would have been expected to win this game comfortably a few games ago, but with their form taking a turn for the worse, and Southend's on the up, we are going for a draw instead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawYeovil Town
51.46%24.17%24.37%
Both teams to score 53.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17%47.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99%70.01%
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.42%18.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.15%49.85%
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05%33.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37%70.63%
Score Analysis
    Southend United 51.45%
    Yeovil Town 24.37%
    Draw 24.16%
Southend UnitedDrawYeovil Town
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.45%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24.37%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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