SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
37.76% ( 1.94) | 25% ( 0.33) | 37.24% ( -2.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.78% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( -1.43) | 45.63% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( -1.38) | 67.96% ( 1.38) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.4) | 23.85% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.97% ( 0.56) | 58.03% ( -0.56) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( -1.81) | 24.12% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.57% ( -2.65) | 58.43% ( 2.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.76% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.24% |
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