Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
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