SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.14% ( -0.52) | 23.85% ( -0.03) | 30.01% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( 0.42) | 42.29% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.31% ( 0.42) | 64.7% ( -0.42) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( -0.05) | 18.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( -0.08) | 49.79% ( 0.08) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.58) | 26.81% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( 0.75) | 62.11% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.01% |
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