SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
46.82% ( 0.02) | 22.53% ( 0) | 30.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.84% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( -0.02) | 35.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.36% ( -0.02) | 57.64% ( 0.02) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( 0) | 15.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.26% ( 0) | 44.74% ( -0) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.02) | 23.1% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( -0.03) | 56.95% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.97% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.65% |
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