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National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. George's Stadium
AT

Wealdstone
3 - 3
Aldershot

Adarkwa (32'), Ferguson (34'), Obiero (47')
Kretzschmar (49'), Henry (69'), Mason (75')
Henry (80'), Barrett (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barham (20'), Tolaj (24'), Thomas (90+1')
Menayese (12'), Widdrington (82'), Widdrington (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 2-0 Halifax
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wealdstone 1-1 Aldershot Town

This is a really interesting match, as Aldershot have a lot of firepower, but Wealdstone are in good form and are also strong at home. It would not be a surprise to see a win either way here, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a tight encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawAldershot Town
46.82% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 22.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)35.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.36% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 46.82%
    Aldershot Town 30.65%
    Draw 22.53%
WealdstoneDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
4-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-0 Halifax
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-2 Wealdstone
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 4-4 Hartlepool
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-1 Rochdale
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Bromley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 4-2 Aldershot
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: West Brom 4-1 Aldershot
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Woking 2-3 Aldershot
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-0 Woking
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League


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