Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
