SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
45.12% ( -0.12) | 26.71% ( -0.02) | 28.16% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( 0.13) | 55.32% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( 0.11) | 76.53% ( -0.11) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( 0) | 24.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( 0) | 58.85% ( -0.01) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0.17) | 34.85% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.41% ( 0.18) | 71.59% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.16% |
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