SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
59.45% ( 1.18) | 21.29% ( 0.11) | 19.26% ( -1.29) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( -2.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( -2.43) | 41.29% ( 2.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( -2.52) | 63.68% ( 2.51) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% ( -0.44) | 13.54% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.39% ( -0.87) | 40.61% ( 0.87) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( -2.7) | 35.11% ( 2.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% ( -2.93) | 71.86% ( 2.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.87)2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.73)3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.36)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.51)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.26% |
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