Stevenage head coach Evans is set to make a number of changes to his starting XI for this match, but we are still expecting the visitors to be too strong, backing them to advance to the second round of the competition courtesy of a 2-0 victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
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