Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Yeovil Town | Draw | Notts County |
18.03% ( -0.19) | 21.45% ( 0.26) | 60.52% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( -1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% ( -1.45) | 43.93% ( 1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( -1.43) | 66.31% ( 1.44) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62% ( -1.07) | 38% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.23% ( -1.05) | 74.77% ( 1.06) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.93% ( -0.49) | 14.07% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.34% ( -0.97) | 41.66% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Yeovil Town | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.03% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 10.28% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.86% Total : 60.52% |
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