Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.14%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
32.08% ( -0.01)	22.28% ( -0.01)	45.64% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 66.57% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.36% (

0.02)

33.65% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.54% (

0.03)

55.47% (

-0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

21.34% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

0.01)

54.31% (

-0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63% (

0.02)

15.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.84% (

0.03)

44.16% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 32.08%

Notts County 45.64%

Draw 22.28%

Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 32.08%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.28% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 45.64%