Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
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