SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
38.7% ( 0.05) | 26.03% ( -0.03) | 35.27% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 0.11) | 50.38% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( 0.1) | 72.32% ( -0.1) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( 0.08) | 25.5% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% ( 0.11) | 60.35% ( -0.11) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( 0.04) | 27.46% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( 0.05) | 62.95% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.27% |
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