SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Tamworth |
39.81% ( -1.03) | 25.15% ( 0.29) | 35.04% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( -1.19) | 46.52% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( -1.13) | 68.79% ( 1.13) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -1.03) | 23.18% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( -1.53) | 57.07% ( 1.52) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( -0.14) | 25.76% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.29% ( -0.18) | 60.7% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.81% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.04% |
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