SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
24.83% ( 0.05) | 24.07% ( 0.01) | 51.1% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.03% ( 0.01) | 46.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.78% ( 0.01) | 69.22% ( -0) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.05) | 33.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.31% ( 0.05) | 69.69% ( -0.05) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( -0.02) | 18.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.46% ( -0.04) | 49.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 24.83% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.09% |
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