Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.