Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 70.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 11.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Scotland
70.61% ( 0.61)	18.35% ( -0.14)	11.04% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 45.37% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

-0.65)

45.02% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63% (

-0.63)

67.37% (

0.62)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.5% (

-0.02)

11.5% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.63% (

-0.04)

36.37% (

0.04)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.26% (

-1.26)

48.74% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.23% (

-0.92)

83.77% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Croatia 70.6%

Scotland 11.04%

Draw 18.35%

Croatia	Draw	Scotland
2-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.6%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.35%	0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.44% Total : 11.04%