SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Italy | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Italy | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Croatia | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Croatia has a probability of 32.52% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Croatia win is 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Italy |
32.52% ( -1.77) | 25.28% ( -0.36) | 42.2% ( 2.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( 1.14) | 47.69% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( 1.04) | 69.89% ( -1.04) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -0.55) | 27.86% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( -0.71) | 63.47% ( 0.71) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.48% ( 1.56) | 22.52% ( -1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.91% ( 2.27) | 56.09% ( -2.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Italy |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.84% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.2% |
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