SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
64.71% ( -0.84) | 20.78% ( 0.24) | 14.51% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.23) | 47.38% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( 0.21) | 69.6% ( -0.21) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% ( -0.18) | 13.89% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.69% ( -0.36) | 41.31% ( 0.36) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.42% ( 1.03) | 44.59% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.4% ( 0.82) | 80.6% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.28)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 64.7% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.78% | 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.51% |
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