SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Finland had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | England |
28.37% ( -0.36) | 27.51% ( -0.14) | 44.12% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.33) | 58.13% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% ( 0.26) | 78.79% ( -0.26) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.79% ( -0.11) | 36.21% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.01% ( -0.11) | 72.99% ( 0.1) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( 0.41) | 26.19% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.71% ( 0.55) | 61.28% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finland | Draw | England |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 28.37% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.12% |
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