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Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
EN

Finland
1 - 3
England

Hoskonen (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Grealish (18'), Alexander-Arnold (74'), Rice (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: England 1-2 Greece
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Finland had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
FinlandDrawEngland
28.37% (-0.361 -0.36) 27.51% (-0.14 -0.14) 44.12% (0.5 0.5)
Both teams to score 47.08% (0.185 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.86% (0.33499999999999 0.33)58.13% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.2% (0.262 0.26)78.79% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)36.21% (0.10400000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (-0.107 -0.11)72.99% (0.104 0.1)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.411 0.41)26.19% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.549 0.55)61.28% (-0.551 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Finland 28.37%
    England 44.12%
    Draw 27.5%
FinlandDrawEngland
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 28.37%
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.51% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 2-0 Finland
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Finland
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-2 Finland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 4-2 Finland
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Finland 2-1 Estonia
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 1-2 Greece
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 2-0 Finland
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 England
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 2-1 England
Sunday, July 14 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 England
Wednesday, July 10 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: England 1-1 Switzerland (5-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 5pm in European Championship


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