SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Greece |
30.22% ( -0.06) | 25.85% ( -0.07) | 43.93% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.01% ( 0.26) | 50.98% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( 0.23) | 72.85% ( -0.23) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( 0.09) | 31.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( 0.11) | 67.37% ( -0.11) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( 0.18) | 23.11% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( 0.26) | 56.96% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Greece |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 30.22% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.92% |
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