Finland
2 - 0
Bulgaria

Taylor (52'), Jensen (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Finland and Bulgaria, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Bulgaria
57.63%	23.7%	18.67%

Both teams to score 47.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7%

52.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01%

73.99%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07%

17.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.25%

48.75%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.82%

42.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.41%

78.59%

Score Analysis

Finland 57.61%

Bulgaria 18.67%

Draw 23.7%

Finland	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 12.99% 2-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.61%	1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.67%