SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Finland had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Finland win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greece | Draw | Finland |
65.56% ( 0.11) | 19.75% ( -0.07) | 14.68% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( 0.26) | 42.59% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.01% ( 0.26) | 64.99% ( -0.26) |
| Greece Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% ( 0.11) | 12.17% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.19% ( 0.23) | 37.81% ( -0.22) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.61% ( 0.12) | 41.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.1% ( 0.1) | 77.9% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greece | Draw | Finland |
| 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 65.56% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.75% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
