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FN
Nations League | League B
Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
GN

Finland
0 - 2
Greece


Pikkarainen (4'), Alho (10'), Ivanov (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakasetas (52'), Tzolis (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Finland
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Greece 0-3 England
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Finland 0-2 Greece

Greece were not bereft of opportunities in the final third during their loss to England - they were simply outclassed by the more superior attacking unit - and Jovanovic's team should have no trouble flexing their muscles in Finland. The relegated hosts could be forgiven for taking their foot off the pedal and conserving their energy for the return of domestic football, but even if Greece prevail as expected, it should not be enough to pip England to the coveted automatic promotion spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Greece had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greece in this match.

Result
FinlandDrawGreece
38.36% (1.003 1) 26.29% (0.125 0.13) 35.36% (-1.13 -1.13)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.611 -0.61)51.48% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-0.533 -0.53)73.29% (0.532 0.53)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.277 0.28)26.2% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.369 0.37)61.3% (-0.372 -0.37)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.962 -0.96)27.94% (0.96 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-1.241 -1.24)63.57% (1.239 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Finland 38.36%
    Greece 35.36%
    Draw 26.29%
FinlandDrawGreece
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.312 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.37% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.259 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.36%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Finland
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-3 England
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 2-0 Finland
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Finland
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-2 Finland
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 0-3 England
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 2-0 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 1-2 Greece
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Finland
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Malta 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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