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Friendlies 1
Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
GN

Malta
0 - 2
Greece

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bakasetas (7' pen.), Tzolis (15')
Koulierakis (28')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Czech Republic 7-1 Malta
Friday, June 7 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England81820
2Italy8714
3Ukraine8314
4North Macedonia8-108
5Malta8-180
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Greece
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Malta 0-2 Greece

With a sizeable gap between them in the FIFA World Rankings, Greece are set to see off Malta by at least a two-goal margin, having been buoyed by their impressive showing in Germany. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Malta had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.

Result
MaltaDrawGreece
21.24% (0.346 0.35) 23.62% (0.115 0.12) 55.14% (-0.465 -0.46)
Both teams to score 51.64% (0.141 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)48.76% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.058 -0.06)70.87% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62% (0.315 0.31)37.37% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84% (0.31 0.31)74.15% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.193 -0.19)17.54% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.334 -0.33)48.08% (0.331 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Malta 21.24%
    Greece 55.14%
    Draw 23.62%
MaltaDrawGreece
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 5.53% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.18% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 21.24%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.93% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.76% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 55.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Czech Republic 7-1 Malta
Friday, June 7 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 0-0 Belarus
Tuesday, March 26 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 2-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 21 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 2-0 Malta
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Malta 1-3 Ukraine
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Italy 4-0 Malta
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Greece
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Georgia 0-0 Greece (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 5-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-2 France
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-0 New Zealand
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 0-1 Netherlands
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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