South Africa will certainly provide competitive opposition for France on Tuesday evening, which is what Deschamps will want ahead of the start of the UEFA Nations League. The Blues should have too much quality for their opponents, though, and we are backing a relatively comfortable home success in this game.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 66.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.8%) and 3-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
