SM
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | Armenia |
42.57% ( 0.05) | 24.79% ( 0.01) | 32.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% ( -0.05) | 45.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.18% ( -0.05) | 67.82% ( 0.05) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 0) | 21.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.6% ( 0) | 54.4% ( -0) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.06) | 26.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.03% ( -0.08) | 61.97% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | Armenia |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.64% |
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