SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Armenia |
51.93% ( -0.05) | 24.79% ( -0.02) | 23.27% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% ( 0.12) | 51.37% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( 0.11) | 73.19% ( -0.1) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( 0.03) | 19.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( 0.04) | 51.81% ( -0.04) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( 0.13) | 36.88% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( 0.13) | 73.67% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Armenia |
| 1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 51.93% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.27% |
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