Both needing a win to have any chance of finishing second, we are expecting a high-scoring affair between Latvia and Armenia this weekend.
Havakakan's confidence will be low following the defeat to Faroe Islands last time out, so we feel that the visitors will only manage a point in Riga.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Armenia win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Latvia has a probability of 30.85% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Latvia win is 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).
1.02) 
-1.1) 
