Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 47.22%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.
