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Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2020 at 2pm UK
Aviva Stadium
WN

Rep. Ireland
0 - 0
Wales


Christie (30'), McClean (79')
McClean (84')
FT

Moore (21'), Morrell (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Wales had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Wales win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawWales
40.37%27.58%32.05%
Both teams to score 48.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.86%57.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99%78.01%
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26%27.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69%63.31%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07%32.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5%69.5%
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 40.37%
    Wales 32.05%
    Draw 27.58%
Republic of IrelandDrawWales
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 10.14%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.05%


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