Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Wales had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Wales win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.