SM
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Ukraine |
54.25% ( -0.01) | 23.39% ( -0.01) | 22.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( 0.06) | 46.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( 0.05) | 68.82% ( -0.06) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( 0.02) | 17.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.77% ( 0.03) | 47.23% ( -0.04) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( 0.04) | 35.05% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( 0.05) | 71.8% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scotland | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.25% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 22.35% |
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