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Nations League | League A
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gradski stadion Dubocica
DN

Serbia
0 - 0
Denmark


Terzic (26'), Milenkovic (41'), Zivkovic (80'), Pavlovic (90')
Pavlovic (90+5')
FT

Dolberg (25')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Serbia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 1-2 Spain
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Serbia 1-1 Denmark

Denmark can hold out for a draw against one of the lowest-scoring teams in League A, securing their spot in the Nations League's last eight. Rarely able to click in the final third, Serbia will also have modest support behind them in Leskovac, which is far less intimidating than Belgrade's menacing Marakana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SerbiaDrawDenmark
33.76% (-0.123 -0.12) 25.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 40.44% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 54.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.4% (0.031000000000006 0.03)49.6% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (0.027999999999999 0.03)71.62% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)63.64% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.084000000000003 0.08)24.23% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (0.117 0.12)58.58% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Serbia 33.76%
    Denmark 40.44%
    Draw 25.79%
SerbiaDrawDenmark
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.76%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 40.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Serbia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 2-0 Switzerland
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Serbia
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Spain
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 0-0 Serbia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Denmark 1-2 Spain
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 2-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 1-0 Denmark
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Serbia
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Switzerland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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