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Nations League | League C
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Tehelne pole
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Slovakia
2 - 2
Sweden

Strelec (44', 72')
Vavro (18'), Suslov (51'), Duda (61'), Gyomber (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ayari (25'), Sema (32')
Douglas (40'), Karlstrom (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Slovakia 1-2 Sweden

Clearly the best two teams in their League C group, these sides could play out a close-fought contest - albeit both will be badly hampered by injuries. Sweden are still searching for identity under new management, but they possess enough attacking talent to beat Slovakia and go clear of the pack with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
SlovakiaDrawSweden
58.01% (-0.847 -0.85) 21.65% (0.355 0.36) 20.33% (0.49 0.49)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-0.922 -0.92)41.34% (0.922 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-0.942 -0.94)63.73% (0.942 0.94)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86% (-0.56 -0.56)13.99% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.48% (-1.111 -1.11)41.51% (1.11 1.11)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)34.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)70.72% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 58.01%
    Sweden 20.33%
    Draw 21.64%
SlovakiaDrawSweden
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.04% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.196 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.64%
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.104 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.205 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 20.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-1 Slovakia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 2-1 Slovakia
Sunday, June 30 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Slovakia 1-1 Romania
Wednesday, June 26 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Slovakia 1-2 Ukraine
Friday, June 21 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 17 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Sweden
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Serbia
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Sweden
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 5-2 Sweden
Thursday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies


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